Darmstadt 98 4-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.91
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.35
X/1
19%
4.26
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
8%
6.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.8
2/2
7%
8.54
2/X
6%
17.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 8% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+1.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.9pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.49/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.64
-25% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
20.2 Crosses 14.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
02.11.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-5 HT 0-3 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
28.05.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
13.11.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
16.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 2-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
15.12.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-2 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
4-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.23 xG 1.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 2
483 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 saw off Greuther Fürth 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 59% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 41%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.23 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.33 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth?

Darmstadt 98 4-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 62%, draw 20%, Greuther Fürth 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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