Paderborn 0-2 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.16
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.93
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.26
X/2
15%
7.13
X/X
10%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
11%
4.7
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
2.14/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.59
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.4 Crosses 18.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.21 xG 1.55
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
424 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-1 HT 1-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
20.09.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 2-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.05.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-2 HT 3-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
03.12.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
11.02.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-4 HT 2-2 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
09.12.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 1-0 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paderborn
0-2
AWAY Hannover 96
0.86 xG 1.66
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 4
417 Passes 340
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paderborn vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 saw off Paderborn 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paderborn had 55% of the ball to Hannover 96's 45%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.86 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paderborn and 1.33 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Paderborn vs Hannover 96?

Paderborn 0-2 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 45%, draw 23%, Hannover 96 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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