Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
15%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.91
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.5
X/2
11%
7.19
X/X
10%
5.78
2/1
9%
21.8
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · X/1 at 5.5 — our 21% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.40/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.90
-8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
23.8 Crosses 13.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.09 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 424
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Magdeburg Magdeburg 4-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
20.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
19.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
05.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
27.01.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-1
AWAY Magdeburg
2.14 xG 1.92
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
189 Passes 409
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Magdeburg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 36% of the ball to Magdeburg's 64%, shots finished 11-26, expected goals 2.14 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2.67 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-1 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%, draw 24%, Magdeburg 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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