Magdeburg 4-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 May 2025

Magdeburg
4-2 HT 0-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.31
2-3 Goals
41%
2.11
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.19
1/2
8%
22.9
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
13%
6.05
X/2
13%
6.64
X/X
10%
6.56
2/1
8%
21.3
2/2
17%
3.66
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.9pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magdeburg v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 39%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.36/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.38
-24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
16.4 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.45 xG 2.22
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 300
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.12.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
19.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
05.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
27.01.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.07.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Magdeburg 4-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
4-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.42 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
481 Passes 343
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Magdeburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Magdeburg had 57% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.42 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Magdeburg and 2.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Magdeburg 4-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 36%, draw 27%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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