Ulm 1846 2-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.0
1/2
6%
24.2
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
15%
7.12
X/2
15%
5.02
X/X
15%
5.02
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.9
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-8.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulm 1846
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 200
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL2
13.04.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
05.11.2023 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-2 HT 2-0 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
2-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
0.70 xG 1.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 6
432 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 and Preussen Münster shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 63% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 37%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.70 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ulm 1846 and 1.00 for Preussen Münster.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster?

Ulm 1846 2-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 35%, draw 28%, Preussen Münster 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Preussen Münster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5
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