Schalke 04 1-2 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.74
Over 2.5
54%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.05
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.46
6+ Goals
12%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.98
1/2
6%
18.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
10%
10.45
X/2
14%
4.63
X/X
12%
7.15
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.02
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
33%
+13.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
67%
-13.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.60/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.79
-2% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 477 · 82%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.7 Crosses 23.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
313 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.12.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 1-4 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
19.04.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.11.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-2
AWAY Elversberg
0.86 xG 0.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
308 Passes 378
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg nicked a narrow win over Schalke 04 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 46% of the ball to Elversberg's 54%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.86 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.33 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Elversberg?

Schalke 04 1-2 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 26%, draw 24%, Elversberg 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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