Braunschweig 1-4 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.29
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.6
X/2
11%
8.98
X/X
13%
5.98
2/1
7%
20.65
2/2
13%
6.37
2/X
8%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
0.95/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.73
-52% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.4 Crosses 14.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Braunschweig
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 372
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
02.03.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 2-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
23.09.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
10.03.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
02.09.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-2 HT 2-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
28.02.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Braunschweig
1-4
AWAY Nürnberg
1.17 xG 1.99
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
327 Passes 496
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Braunschweig vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg cruised past Braunschweig 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Braunschweig at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Braunschweig had 41% of the ball to Nürnberg's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.17 to 1.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Braunschweig and 1.50 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Braunschweig vs Nürnberg?

Braunschweig 1-4 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Braunschweig vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Braunschweig win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Braunschweig 41%, draw 29%, Nürnberg 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braunschweig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braunschweig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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