Karlsruher SC 3-0 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.09 — our 27% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.7
1/2
10%
19.65
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
7%
9.72
X/2
10%
4.64
X/X
10%
6.42
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.16
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 58%
+11% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.78/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.08
+44% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
20.4 Crosses 24.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paderborn
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.70 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
309 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-2 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
13.04.2024 Paderborn Paderborn 1-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
05.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-3 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
27.01.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
17.07.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 5-0 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.04.2022 Paderborn Paderborn 2-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
3-0
AWAY Paderborn
0.86 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
377 Passes 455
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC swept aside Paderborn 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paderborn at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 46% of the ball to Paderborn's 54%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.86 to 1.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paderborn.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Karlsruher SC and 2.17 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Paderborn?

Karlsruher SC 3-0 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 28%, draw 26%, Paderborn 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Paderborn), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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