Sydney 3-0 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Nov 2025

Sydney
3-0 HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2025/2026

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.66
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.1
X/2
14%
7.74
X/X
12%
5.71
2/1
7%
21.55
2/2
8%
5.1
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.70/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.47
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.9 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Sydney vs Melbourne Victory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Victory
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
428 Passes 339
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.01.2025 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
28.12.2024 Sydney Sydney 3-0 HT 2-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
26.01.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 1-1 HT 1-1 Sydney Sydney AVUS
16.12.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 3-0 HT 2-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
21.10.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
04.03.2023 Sydney Sydney 1-0 HT 1-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS

Sydney 3-0 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
3-0
AWAY Melbourne Victory
2.41 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
313 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 39
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney ran out comfortable winners over Melbourne Victory 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Sydney had 50% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 50%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.41 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Melbourne Victory.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Melbourne Victory?

Sydney 3-0 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sydney 47%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUS More Australia - A-League
22 Nov 2025
07:00 Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Analysis →
09:00 Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners Analysis →