Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.81
6+ Goals
10%
7.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.92
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
9%
6.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.3
2/2
6%
8.64
2/X
5%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +22%
1.67/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.66
-13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.8 Crosses 13.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.72 xG 1.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
355 Passes 335
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 0-4 HT 0-3 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
17.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
18.02.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
04.03.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3-2
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.47 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
364 Passes 385
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
22 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers edged past Central Coast Mariners 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Western Sydney Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 49% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.47 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 1.17 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Western Sydney Wanderers 3-2 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 63%, draw 20%, Central Coast Mariners 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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