Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +5%
1.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
+35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 69%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
15.8 Crosses 13.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.16
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
280 Passes 221
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
26.06.2025 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLPLK
15.06.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
14.06.2025 Aurora Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
06.03.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ CSA
20.11.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4-1
AWAY Aurora
1.74 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
276 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ ran out comfortable winners over Aurora 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 50% of the ball to Aurora's 50%, shots finished 17-20, expected goals 1.74 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 1.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 57%, draw 21%, Aurora 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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