Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
39%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+9.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.76/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
+33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
285 Passes 234
28.04.2025 Arema Malang Arema Malang 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
07.12.2024 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 HT 2-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
27.03.2024 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
01.10.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-3 HT 2-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
23.02.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
06.11.2021 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 2-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
1-1
AWAY Arema Malang
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 4
18 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya and Arema Malang shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arema Malang at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Persebaya Surabaya had 60% of the ball to Arema Malang's 40%, shots finished 22-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.17 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang?

Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arema Malang win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 29%, draw 29%, Arema Malang 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arema Malang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arema Malang) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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