Borneo FC 1-0 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.9pp
8%
Away Win
9%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +7%
1.72/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.98
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Madura United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Madura United Madura United 2-3 HT 0-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
14.12.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
19.05.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-3 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-0 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
17.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.10.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC edged past Madura United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Borneo FC as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Borneo FC and 1.67 for Madura United.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Borneo FC 1-0 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 73%, draw 19%, Madura United 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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