Lens 1-0 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.88
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
10%
7.19
X/X
7%
5.38
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
2/2
13%
4.76
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.84/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.65
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
23.1 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
3W-2D-1L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
459 Passes 340
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Lens Lens 0-2 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
06.10.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
10.02.2024 Lens Lens 3-1 HT 2-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
29.09.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-1 Lens Lens FR1
07.04.2023 Lens Lens 2-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
11.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-2 HT 2-2 Lens Lens FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
1-0
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.92 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
472 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lens vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens edged past RC Strasbourg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lens had 55% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 45%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.92 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lens's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lens and 1.33 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Lens 1-0 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lens 48%, draw 24%, RC Strasbourg 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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