Rennes 4-1 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Nov 2025

Rennes
4-1 HT 1-0
Monaco
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Rennes vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.1
X/1
13%
5.94
X/2
13%
6.49
X/X
8%
5.58
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
18%
3.85
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.32
+30% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
19.1 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rennes vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Monaco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
385 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.01.2025 Monaco Monaco 3-2 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
05.10.2024 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 1-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
07.04.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.12.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
27.05.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.08.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1

Rennes 4-1 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
4-1
AWAY Monaco
3.69 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
421 Passes 431
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
27 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes cruised past Monaco 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rennes had 50% of the ball to Monaco's 50%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 3.69 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rennes and 1.50 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Monaco?

Rennes 4-1 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rennes 40%, draw 22%, Monaco 38%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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