Monaco vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Rennes — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Monaco
FR1
2-0
HT 0-0
Monaco
FR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Rennes
FR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Monaco
FR1
Monaco 3-2 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco nicked a narrow win over Rennes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Monaco had 52% of the ball to Rennes's 48%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 3.53 to 1.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monaco's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monaco and 1.17 for Rennes.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Rennes?
Monaco 3-2 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Rennes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monaco 54%, draw 25%, Rennes 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.