PSG 1-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Jan 2025

PSG
1-1 HT 0-0
Reims
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.94
Over 2.5
62%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.37
2-3 Goals
37%
2.5
4-5 Goals
30%
2.27
6+ Goals
15%
3.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
23.0
X/1
18%
4.15
X/2
8%
23.85
X/X
5%
12.25
2/1
6%
17.2
2/2
7%
17.75
2/X
7%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.9pp
20%
Draw
13%
+7.1pp
19%
Away Win
9%
+9.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +26%
2.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.67
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +35%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.7 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Reims
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.73 xG 1.32
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
623 Passes 286
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 1-0 PSG PSG FR1
10.03.2024 PSG PSG 2-2 HT 2-2 Reims Reims FR1
11.11.2023 Reims Reims 0-3 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
29.01.2023 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
08.10.2022 Reims Reims 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
23.01.2022 PSG PSG 4-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
1-1
AWAY Reims
1.25 xG 0.91
78% Ball Possession 22%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
711 Passes 144
92% Pass Accuracy 70%
48 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSG vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG and Reims couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PSG at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, PSG had 78% of the ball to Reims's 22%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.25 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSG and 0.67 for Reims.

What was the final score of PSG vs Reims?

PSG 1-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split PSG 61%, draw 20%, Reims 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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