RC Strasbourg 2-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.34
1/2
13%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
12%
6.18
X/2
9%
5.36
X/X
13%
4.26
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.48
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.08
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.5 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lille
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.21 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
289 Passes 475
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Lille Lille 3-3 HT 2-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.04.2024 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
20.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lille Lille FR1
12.02.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
14.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
24.04.2022 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
2-1
AWAY Lille
1.06 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
365 Passes 516
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg edged past Lille 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day RC Strasbourg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 42% of the ball to Lille's 58%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.06 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lille.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.83 for Lille.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Lille?

RC Strasbourg 2-1 Lille in the France - Ligue 1 on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 35%, draw 28%, Lille 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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