Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Umm Salal v Al Rayyan — Team-Based Signals
Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Al Rayyan
KAT
1-1
HT 1-0
Umm Salal
KAT
Umm Salal 1-2 Al Rayyan — Actual Match Statistics
Al Rayyan edged past Umm Salal 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Umm Salal had 36% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 64%, shots finished 14-23, expected goals 0.63 to 2.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Rayyan's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Umm Salal and 2.33 for Al Rayyan.
What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?
Umm Salal 1-2 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Rayyan?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 14%, draw 19%, Al Rayyan 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.