Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.99
X/2
11%
7.09
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.18
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.31/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.51
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.8 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Motor Lublin
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 386
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-1 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
26.10.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 6-2 HT 2-2 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-2
AWAY Motor Lublin
0.43 xG 0.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
454 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin nicked a narrow win over Cracovia Krakow 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 57% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 43%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.43 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

Cracovia Krakow 1-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 46%, draw 24%, Motor Lublin 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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