Rakow Czestochowa 1-3 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.67
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.08
X/2
7%
9.29
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
14%
8.33
2/X
5%
17.25
Value flag · X/1 at 4.08 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.69/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.55
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.5 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.87 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
349 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-3 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
30.08.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
27.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 3-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
17.02.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
11.08.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
04.02.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-3
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.04 xG 2.05
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
413 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice saw off Rakow Czestochowa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 58% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 42%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.04 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 1.17 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-3 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 52%, draw 23%, Piast Gliwice 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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