Legia Varşova 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Nov 2025

Legia Varşova
2-2 HT 0-1
Lechia Gdansk
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
24%
4.11
X/2
7%
11.8
X/X
10%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.8
2/2
6%
9.55
2/X
5%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Legia Varşova v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.07/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.88
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
23.2 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
365 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
18.10.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-2 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
20.05.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.11.2022 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
04.11.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
02.04.2022 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-1 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Legia Varşova 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.82 xG 1.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
362 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Legia Varşova carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 53% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 47%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.82 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.00 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk?

Legia Varşova 2-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 60%, draw 22%, Lechia Gdansk 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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