ADO Den Haag 1-0 FC Oss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.54
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 26% vs market 16.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
19.0
X/1
15%
3.68
X/2
5%
15.55
X/X
10%
7.19
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
8%
11.65
2/X
6%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
ADO Den Haag win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.0pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Oss EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.69/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.78
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
25.0 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Oss
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.21 xG 0.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
396 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-5 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
02.02.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 1-3 HT 1-3 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
06.10.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
10.03.2023 FC Oss FC Oss 2-3 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
16.12.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
15.01.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
1-0
AWAY FC Oss
2.46 xG 1.27
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
390 Passes 177
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag edged past FC Oss 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 64% of the ball to FC Oss's 36%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.46 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ADO Den Haag and 0.83 for FC Oss.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss?

ADO Den Haag 1-0 FC Oss in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs FC Oss?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 56%, draw 25%, FC Oss 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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