Volendam vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Volendam v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
Volendam vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-3
HT 0-2
Volendam
HOL2
1-4
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-5
HT 2-2
Volendam
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Volendam
HAZ
Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
Volendam nicked a narrow win over De Graafschap 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Volendam as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Volendam had 54% of the ball to De Graafschap's 46%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.74 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volendam had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Volendam and 2.00 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Volendam 2-1 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Volendam vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a Volendam win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Volendam 48%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volendam), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.