MVV Maastricht vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Telstar
HOL2
5-3
HT 3-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
2-1
HT 2-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 5-1 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht ran out comfortable winners over Telstar 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day MVV Maastricht made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 38% of the ball to Telstar's 62%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.56 to 0.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.50 for Telstar.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Telstar?
MVV Maastricht 5-1 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 40%, draw 27%, Telstar 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.