Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
9%
9.16
X/X
8%
5.55
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
9%
6.6
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 25%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.81
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
01.04.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-2 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
01.10.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 5-1 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
2-1
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge squeezed past Dorking Wanderers 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 44% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 2.67 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dorking Wanderers?

Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 49%, draw 25%, Dorking Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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