Buxton 0-6 Warrington Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.4
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Warrington Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.53/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.85
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Warrington Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
15.08.2023 Warrington Town Warrington Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
15.01.2022 Buxton Buxton 3-3 HT 2-3 Warrington Town Warrington Town İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Warrington Town Warrington Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
27.10.2020 Warrington Town Warrington Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Buxton Buxton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
0-6
AWAY Warrington Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Warrington Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrington Town ran out comfortable winners over Buxton 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Buxton had 57% of the ball to Warrington Town's 43%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Buxton and 1.50 for Warrington Town.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Warrington Town?

Buxton 0-6 Warrington Town in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Warrington Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buxton 44%, draw 31%, Warrington Town 25%. The final score 0-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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