Kings Lynn Town 0-4 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.94
2-3
39%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.67
6+
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.94 — our 32% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.97/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.27
-29% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.08.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
29.04.2023 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
24.09.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
0-4
AWAY Curzon Ashton
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton ran out comfortable winners over Kings Lynn Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Curzon Ashton made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 48% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 52%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 0.67 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Kings Lynn Town 0-4 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kings Lynn Town win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 35%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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