Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Bath City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.31 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bath City EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +12%
1.64/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bath City
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 Bath City Bath City 2-6 HT 0-2 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
31.08.2015 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
10.03.2015 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 4-2 HT 2-2 Bath City Bath City İCON
18.02.2014 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-0 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
0-1
AWAY Bath City
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Bath City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City nicked a narrow win over Weston-super-Mare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bath City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 60% of the ball to Bath City's 40%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.25 for Bath City.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Bath City?

Weston-super-Mare 0-1 Bath City in the England - Conference on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Bath City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 36%, draw 23%, Bath City 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bath City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bath City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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