Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Jan 2024

Bolton Wanderers
1-0 HT 1-0
Cheltenham Town
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
17%
3.69
X/2
8%
11.25
X/X
10%
5.66
2/1
8%
22.6
2/2
9%
8.91
2/X
9%
17.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolton Wanderers v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.71/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.38
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.1 Crosses 12.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.13 xG 0.76
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 Passes 200
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
04.02.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
04.10.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
23.04.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
27.11.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-2 HT 1-2 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
16.01.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2

Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Cheltenham Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
287 Passes 189
68% Pass Accuracy 60%
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Cheltenham Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 57% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 43%, shots finished 8-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.83 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town?

Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - 1st Division on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 53%, draw 24%, Cheltenham Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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