Cardiff MU 0-2 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +9%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
-1% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
22.08.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-2 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
11.04.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
21.02.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
27.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
0-2
AWAY Haverfordwest County
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County got the better of Cardiff MU 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 58% of the ball to Haverfordwest County's 42%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haverfordwest County led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.83 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?

Cardiff MU 0-2 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 50%, draw 24%, Haverfordwest County 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cardiff MU), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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