Trabzonspor 2-1 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.68
No
39%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.99
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
23%
4.28
X/2
7%
10.95
X/X
10%
6.2
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.8
2/2
6%
8.32
2/X
4%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+2.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+5.7pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +27%
1.94/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.73
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.7 Crosses 17.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.61
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
05.05.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
06.12.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
29.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
01.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-1
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.73 xG 0.56
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
452 Passes 314
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 57% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 43%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.50 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Trabzonspor 2-1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 61%, draw 21%, Kasımpaşa 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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