Polonya (K) 1-4 İsviçre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY İsviçre (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
0W-3D-0L
AWAY İsviçre (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.42 xG 1.84
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
208 Passes 374
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2023 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) HAZ
17.02.2023 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) HAZ
04.09.2018 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İsviçre (K) İsviçre (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
1-4
AWAY İsviçre (K)
2.59 xG 3.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
335 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs İsviçre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsviçre (K) ran out comfortable winners over Polonya (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; İsviçre (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 44% of the ball to İsviçre (K)'s 56%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.59 to 3.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Polonya (K) and 0.33 for İsviçre (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs İsviçre (K)?

Polonya (K) 1-4 İsviçre (K) in the Friendlies on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs İsviçre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 35%, draw 30%, İsviçre (K) 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
23 Feb 2024
11:00 Arsenal Tula vs Khan Tengri Analysis →
12:15 HamKam vs Fredrikstad Analysis →
14:00 Warta Poznan vs Notec Czarnkow Analysis →
15:00 Sogndal vs Aalesund Analysis →
17:00 Fakel vs FC Sochi Analysis →
20:00 Strommen vs Kjelsas Analysis →