Sestri Levante 1-1 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 43%
-20% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.72
-32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestri Levante
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lucchese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
14.01.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 1-3 HT 1-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
09.09.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestri Levante
1-1
AWAY Lucchese
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sestri Levante vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante and Lucchese shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sestri Levante had 49% of the ball to Lucchese's 51%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sestri Levante and 0.67 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Lucchese?

Sestri Levante 1-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 30%, draw 30%, Lucchese 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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