Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.06
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 13.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
06.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
20.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.08.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2-1
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano edged past Nacional Asuncion 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 55% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 45%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.50 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 35%, draw 32%, Nacional Asuncion 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Ameliano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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