San Carlos 1-0 CS Herediano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 23 Feb 2026

📅23/02/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Herediano EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.82/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.08
-31% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CS Herediano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 3-1 HT 2-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
23.02.2025 CS Herediano CS Herediano 2-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
07.11.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
11.09.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 1-2 HT 1-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
28.03.2024 San Carlos San Carlos 2-0 HT 0-0 CS Herediano CS Herediano KOSTA
21.01.2024 CS Herediano CS Herediano 0-1 HT 0-1 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs CS Herediano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos edged past CS Herediano 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; San Carlos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Carlos and 1.00 for CS Herediano.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs CS Herediano?

San Carlos 1-0 CS Herediano in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs CS Herediano?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 35%, draw 31%, CS Herediano 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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