Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hamrun Spartans v Marsaxlokk FC — Team-Based Signals
Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hamrun Spartans 2-0 Marsaxlokk FC — Actual Match Statistics
Hamrun Spartans took care of Marsaxlokk FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Hamrun Spartans had 51% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 49%, shots finished 10-5.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hamrun Spartans and 1.50 for Marsaxlokk FC.
Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Result & Final Score
Hamrun Spartans 2 - 0 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 23/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hamrun Spartans vs Marsaxlokk FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hamrun Spartans 56%, draw 26%, Marsaxlokk FC 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.