Real Forte Querceta 2-2 Orvietana Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
Over
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1
44%
2-3
34%
4-5
12%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
57%
-16.9pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.5pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Forte Querceta The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Orvietana Calcio The Market 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +133%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Forte Querceta
2-2
AWAY Orvietana Calcio
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Real Forte Querceta vs Orvietana Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Forte Querceta and Orvietana Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Forte Querceta had 64% of the ball to Orvietana Calcio's 36%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Real Forte Querceta vs Orvietana Calcio?

Real Forte Querceta 2-2 Orvietana Calcio in the Italy - Serie D on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Forte Querceta vs Orvietana Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Forte Querceta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Forte Querceta 40%, draw 31%, Orvietana Calcio 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Forte Querceta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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