Brisbane City 1-0 Redlands United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
27%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
66%
-17.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.8pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Redlands United EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.01/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
425 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 9.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Redlands United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.55 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
267 Passes 186
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Redlands United Redlands United 2-2 HT 1-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
06.05.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-4 HT 1-3 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
12.09.2020 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-3 HT 1-2 Redlands United Redlands United AVNPL
17.05.2019 Redlands United Redlands United 0-4 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
02.02.2019 Brisbane City Brisbane City 3-0 HT 2-0 Redlands United Redlands United AVSQ
15.08.2014 Redlands United Redlands United 2-2 HT 2-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane City vs Redlands United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City edged past Redlands United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brisbane City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Brisbane City and 1.83 for Redlands United.

What was the final score of Brisbane City vs Redlands United?

Brisbane City 1-0 Redlands United in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane City vs Redlands United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brisbane City 49%, draw 25%, Redlands United 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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