NWS Spirit 2-1 Central Coast II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast II EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.42/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.70
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.3 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Central Coast II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.18 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
316 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
18.06.2023 Central Coast II Central Coast II 4-2 HT 1-0 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
04.03.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-1 HT 0-1 Central Coast II Central Coast II AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Central Coast II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit squeezed past Central Coast II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NWS Spirit as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Central Coast II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.50 for Central Coast II.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Central Coast II?

NWS Spirit 2-1 Central Coast II in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Central Coast II?

Before kick-off our model rated a NWS Spirit win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 48%, draw 25%, Central Coast II 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NWS Spirit), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NWS Spirit) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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