Perth RedStar FC 2-1 Balcatta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
29%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+13.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Balcatta EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.78/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.86
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth RedStar FC
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Balcatta
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 1-0 Balcatta Balcatta BAGS
12.08.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
29.04.2023 Balcatta Balcatta 0-3 HT 0-3 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
06.08.2022 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 5-1 HT 3-0 Balcatta Balcatta AVNPL
14.05.2022 Balcatta Balcatta 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth RedStar FC edged past Balcatta 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Perth RedStar FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Perth RedStar FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Perth RedStar FC and 0.40 for Balcatta.

What was the final score of Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta?

Perth RedStar FC 2-1 Balcatta in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth RedStar FC vs Balcatta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Perth RedStar FC 49%, draw 22%, Balcatta 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth RedStar FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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