St George City FA 0-2 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.2pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
1.28/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
-18% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.6 Crosses 22.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.35 xG 1.44
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
313 Passes 292
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-2 HT 1-0 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
22.04.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 2-2 HT 0-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blacktown City Demons beat St George City FA 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Blacktown City Demons made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St George City FA and 2.00 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs Blacktown City Demons?

St George City FA 0-2 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 37%, draw 29%, Blacktown City Demons 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St George City FA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St George City FA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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