23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Poitiers FC vs Chatellerault Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Poitiers FC win — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
58%
Home Win
79%
16%
Draw
12%
26%
Away Win
8%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Poitiers FC v Chatellerault — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Poitiers FC
The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Chatellerault
The Market 11%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+70% /
+70%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+129%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
404 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Poitiers FC vs Chatellerault Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Poitiers FC
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Chatellerault
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Poitiers FC vs Chatellerault
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Poitiers FC beat Chatellerault 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Poitiers FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Poitiers FC vs Chatellerault?
Poitiers FC 2-0 Chatellerault in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Poitiers FC vs Chatellerault?
Before kick-off our model rated a Poitiers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Poitiers FC 58%, draw 16%, Chatellerault 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poitiers FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Poitiers FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024