Alfaro vs Barbastro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfaro v Barbastro — Team-Based Signals
Alfaro vs Barbastro Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Alfaro 0-1 Barbastro — Actual Match Statistics
Barbastro edged past Alfaro 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 35% / 25% — and on the day Barbastro made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Alfaro had 64% of the ball to Barbastro's 36%, shots finished 18-7.
What was the final score of Alfaro vs Barbastro?
Alfaro 0-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfaro vs Barbastro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfaro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 40%, draw 35%, Barbastro 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfaro) went the other way.