Compostela 0-2 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.40/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.31
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-4 HT 0-1 Compostela Compostela İS4
19.03.2023 Compostela Compostela 0-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
30.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-2 HT 1-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
19.02.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 3-2 HT 3-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
02.10.2021 Compostela Compostela 1-1 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Compostela
0-2
AWAY Bergantinos
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos saw off Compostela 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Bergantinos found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Compostela had 48% of the ball to Bergantinos's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Compostela had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Compostela and 1.00 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Bergantinos?

Compostela 0-2 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Compostela 39%, draw 31%, Bergantinos 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Compostela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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