Escobedo 2-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Escobedo EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -7%
0.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.79
-37% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Escobedo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Numancia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Numancia Numancia 1-1 HT 1-1 Escobedo Escobedo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Escobedo
2-1
AWAY Numancia
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Escobedo vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Escobedo squeezed past Numancia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Escobedo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Escobedo had 51% of the ball to Numancia's 49%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Escobedo vs Numancia?

Escobedo 2-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Escobedo vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Escobedo 26%, draw 33%, Numancia 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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