Europa 1-0 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.53
+65% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cornella
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Cornella Cornella 2-3 HT 0-1 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
1-0
AWAY Cornella
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Europa vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa edged past Cornella 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Europa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Europa had 62% of the ball to Cornella's 38%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Europa vs Cornella?

Europa 1-0 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Europa 50%, draw 24%, Cornella 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Europa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Europa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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