Langreo 3-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Langreo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.32/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.24
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Langreo
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-0 HT 0-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
14.01.2024 Langreo Langreo 1-1 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
02.09.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 1-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
19.03.2023 Langreo Langreo 0-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
30.10.2022 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 2-0 Langreo Langreo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Langreo
3-0
AWAY Guijuelo
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Langreo vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Langreo swept aside Guijuelo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Langreo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Langreo had 50% of the ball to Guijuelo's 50%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guijuelo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Langreo and 1.40 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Langreo vs Guijuelo?

Langreo 3-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Langreo vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Langreo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Langreo 46%, draw 28%, Guijuelo 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Langreo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Langreo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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