Marino De Luanco 2-1 Rayo Cantabria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.03/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.54
-15% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 4-2 HT 2-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
14.04.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
03.12.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
30.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-3 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
17.12.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 0-2 HT 0-2 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
2-1
AWAY Rayo Cantabria
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco edged past Rayo Cantabria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Marino De Luanco as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 49% of the ball to Rayo Cantabria's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rayo Cantabria led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 2.00 for Rayo Cantabria.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria?

Marino De Luanco 2-1 Rayo Cantabria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Rayo Cantabria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 43%, draw 29%, Rayo Cantabria 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marino De Luanco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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