Orihuela 1-0 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orihuela EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.51/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.25
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orihuela
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Linense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Linense Linense 0-1 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
10.12.2023 Linense Linense 2-0 HT 1-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orihuela
1-0
AWAY Linense
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orihuela vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orihuela squeezed past Linense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orihuela as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Orihuela had 54% of the ball to Linense's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orihuela and 1.00 for Linense.

What was the final score of Orihuela vs Linense?

Orihuela 1-0 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orihuela vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orihuela win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Orihuela 50%, draw 28%, Linense 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orihuela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orihuela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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